Rediscovering Yahoo!

Recently I needed a new email account that was not Gmail.  Note that I have about six or seven (lost count) Gmail accounts.  One for each of several purposes.  But now I needed one with my Ham Radio callsign, and it’s only got five letters.  Five letters account names are too small for Gmail (why?), so Gmail was out.  The criteria for the new email ISP was: Free; and not a startup that would be gone next week.  And I thought I would try Yahoo!

I used to use Yahoo! for web searches (a loooonnnggg time ago), but haven’t been there is literally years.  So I got my new email account and had a quick look at the overall site.  I was surprised!

Yahoo! was actually INTERESTING!  There was news, there was entertainment, and there were videos.  I am not sure if it’s doing YouTube-type crowd-sourced videos, but there they were.  I guess times change things.

And yes, apparently you can still search the web on Yahoo!

Nice.

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An Interesting Survey

As it happens I am an elected “official”.  I am a Precinct Committee Officer for my election precinct, and my party affiliation is Republican.  Thus, apparently, my private email address is out there available for people to use to write to me.  Or, at least, someone got the address and sent me an email inviting me to participate in a survey.

The survey in question was put together by a young man enrolled in our local university, The Evergreen State College, and he put it together for his class Doing Research, and he seems to have sent out the invitation to a mailing list of Thurston County Republicans.  It’s about conservative attitudes towards Climate Change.

My initial feeling was that this had to be a slanted survey, in the sense that the information obtained would be used to show how horrible and ignorant those dastardly Republicans are, and that I didn’t really want to help this effort.  The main reason for my prejudice is that The Evergreen State College has a local reputation of being populated by flaming left-wing liberal neo-Socialists.  But then, I decided, what the heck.  The young man is trying to get a decent grade in his class, so who am I to be such a jerk?  If he misuses my answers, well, that’s his lookout.  And for all I know he is sending out a similar survey to the local Democrats, and he wants to make a comparison.

The survey itself seemed to be a bit leftish in its bias, but not terribly so, so I answered the questions.  And since many of the questions made some unwarranted assumptions, I thought I would respond here with some explanatory writing.  So here is the survey and my answers.  In the case of my choices to the survey questions, my choice is indicated in bold Red.  My expanded answers are in italics.

Climate Change Attitudes

Question: Do you believe in climate change?

Yes
No
Maybe

Fair enough, and I’ll answer Yes. I seem to recall something about that last glaciation which ended about 12,000 years ago or so. So, yes, there is climate change, and has been for millions of years. It hasn’t suddenly stopped, I don’t think.

Question: If you clicked Yes or Maybe you believe in climate change, do you think it is caused by human activity?

Yes, climate change is man-made, bruh
No, because the earth is dynamic and has gone through phases of climate change before.
I don’t know because science, man

None of these apply, so no response.

My first reaction to this was how am I supposed to take this survey seriously with this  “bruh” stuff and “I don’t know because science, man”? Excuse me? Because science what? Because science says there’s not? Just because science? LOL. What does that even mean?

I guess I can’t answer the question, since none of the possible responses matches what I think. My answer would have been: Climate change has been going on for millions of years, and lately human activity has probably contributed towards it in some form and to some extent. I don’t know to what extent, and I doubt anyone else does, either.

Question: How often do you think of climate change?

Always
Most of the time
About half the time
Once in a while
Never

Is there anyone who thinks about it all the time? If so, why? I primarily think about it when earnest do-gooders try to make me think we are all going to die if we don’t do something about it.

Question: Democrats in Congress are doing a great job: Do you agree, disagree, or neither agree or disagree?

Agree a great deal
Agree a moderate amount
Agree a little
Neither agree or disagree
Disagree a little
Disagree a a moderate amount
Disagree a great deal

Is this “doing a great job” a generic or a specific thing? Does it pertain to climate change, or overall? Since the survey has to do with climate change, I will assume that the question pertains to the specific.

And my answer must be “Neither agree or disagree”. I answer this way because I don’t think the Democrats in Congress are doing much of anything about climate change, and this would be because the Republicans in Congress are preventing them from doing much.

I am also fascinated by the fact that despite having overwhelming majories in the House and Senate in the first two years of Obama’s presidency, the Democrats sat on their hands with respect to a lot of things that President Obama had talked about while he ran for office. Not that I am complaining, mind you. They could have done all kinds of ruinous things, but the only significant thing they did was pass the so-called Affordable Health Care Act.

Oh, and by the way, I am not one of those nervous nannies who think that a legislature that fails to pass much legislation is suffering gridlock.  Gridlock simply indicates that there isn’t enough agreement between the two sides to make it worthwhile to produce laws.  Laws that are not produced with at least some bipartisan agreement are probably BAD laws.  And I don’t like bad laws.

Question: Republicans in the U.S. Congress are doing a great job: Do you Agree, Disagree, or neither agree or disagree?

Disagree a great deal
Disagree a moderate amount
Disagree a little
Neither agree or disagree
Agree a little
Agree a moderate amount
Agree a great deal

Using the same criterion as the previous question, I have to say that I “Agree a moderate amount”. I say this because with regard to “doing something” about climate change, the Republicans are successfully preventing the Democrats from “doing something” about it. And that is a good thing.

NOW, this would be a good place for the survey to ask me why I think this is a good thing. Since it doesn’t ask this, I will color outside the lines a bit and say why.

Does the surveyor truly believe that the United States all by its ownsome can do something that would actually prevent climate change? Perhaps he does believe this, but I doubt it very strongly. There are so many factors involved, including things which are not at all within our capability of affecting, that it is clearly a case of tilting at windmills.

Humans 12,000 years ago were too few in number to do anything to warm things up, even if they had known there was something they could do about the then Ice Age. But warm up it did, regardless of our ancestors’ involvement. In fact, a mere 4,000 years later (8,000 years BP) the climate had warmed up to the degree that it was warmer then than it had been for tens of thousands of years. And there were no human industries belching out greenhouse gases. But after that point there began to be a long gradual downwards trend, something which has only recently turned around. In other words, starting 8,000 years ago, we had already started heading into the next glaciation! In still other words, it was getting colder.

The question to the answer is, do we prefer miles thick ice sheets or ten feet of ocean rise? I vote for the ocean rise!

The second question to the answer is, even if we did prefer ice sheets, do we really think we can stop the ocean rise by any conceivable reduction of greenhouse gases? We in the West are constantly improving the efficiency of our automobiles and our industries, and this has steadily been reducing our carbon emissions. We could reduce our carbon emissions still further without much effort, and we will. But do you really think that China’s billion people are going to be reducing theirs any time soon? Fat chance. Do we have the influence to make them do so if they don’t want to? Hah.

The point is, even if the Democrats and the Republicans agreed that they must act, Congress can only succeed in stagnating our general trend of greater efficiency through regulations that would likely do more harm than good. Economics is driving this greater efficiency. If Congress leaves well enough alone, then it will continue to get better.

Question: State politicians deserve more trust than politicians at the national level: Do you Strongly disagree, Disagree, Neither agree or disagree, Agree, or Strongly Agree?

Strongly disagree
Disagree
Neither disagree or agree
Agree
Strongly Agree

State politicians are not noticeably smarter, more honest or more dependable than federal politicians. They’re ALL politicians. Whatever that means depends upon individual cases rather than upon groups. The only difference between them is the extent to which they can affect change. There is no guarantee that the change they affect at any level will result in good or bad outcomes. I cite the Law of Unintended Consequences.

Question: Do you support more government spending to combat climate change?

Yes
No
Maybe
Depends

I’ve already explained why.

Question: Would you support climate change policy if a Republican governor or President was to enact climate change legislation?

Yes
No
Maybe

Question: Is the United States government spending too much money trying to reduce global warming, too little money, or about the right amount of money?

Way too much
Somewhat too much
Slightly too much
About the right amount
Slightly too little
Somewhat too little
Way to little

I answer in this way because there is nothing they can do to be reasonably certain they can do anything that needs to be done, and lots of cause to believe that if they do something it will make things worse, if possible.

Question: Would you support a gas tax to mitigate climate change?

Yes
No
Maybe

The presumed goal would be to reduce traveling, or increase the number of fuel efficient cars on the road. There appears to be already enough of this going on.

Question: Do you think government should increase or reduce spending in these certain areas of the federal budget as a part of addressing climate change?

Increase spending a lot
Increase spending moderately
Increase spending a little
Leave spending levels where they are
Decrease spending gradually
Decrease spending moderately
Decrease spending and eliminate

  • Military

Increase spending a little

President Obama has caused military spending to be decreased to dangerously low levels.

  • Education

Decrease spending and eliminate

The Federal government has no business being involved in education. This is a state function.

  • Medicare/Medicaid

Leave spending levels where they are

  • Foreign aid

Decrease spending and eliminate

Most if not all foreign aid is a waste of money, for the simple reason that it only rarely accomplishes anything that is in the interests of the United States. The only kind of foreign aid that I support is the kind of military assistance that makes the USA more secure, and that helps to mitigate human suffering in natural or human-caused disasters.

  • Farm subsidies

Decrease spending and eliminate

Farm subsidies should be eliminated and the griculture industry should be subject to the same market forces that the rest of the economy should be subject to.

  • Federal agencies, e.g, FDA, FBI, IRS

Leave spending levels where they are

The question of funding of the alphabet soup of Federal Agencies is too complex to be reduced to such a simple response.

  • Social Security

Leave spending levels where they are

If Social Security is to be saved (and it will go off the rails eventually, if we do nothing), then it needs to be decoupled from its dependence upon the national debt. This may not be possible; in any case, I don’t feel myself to be knowledgeable enough to go beyond vague generalities.

Question: Government should subsidize climate change related research.

Strongly disagree
Disagree
Neither disagree or agreee
Agree
Strongly Agree

This may be a surprising answer, given the tenor of my previous responses, but climate change needs to be studied thoroughly and understood as completely as possible because although I don’t believe we can do much to prevent it, we definitely need to know what is going to happen, so that we can best prepare to meet the changes.

Question: Government should shift subsidies from fossil fuels to renewable energy.

Strongly disagree
Disagree
Neither disagree or agree
Agree
Strongly Agree
No subsidies for neither

Double negative! Should be “No subsidies for either”. Actually, I’m not sure government is subsidizing fossil fuels! It’s sure taxing it like crazy. What’s renewable energy? And can subsidizing it make a difference? I think of Solyndra and shudder about the $500 million poured down a rathole. If renewable energy can be made an important part of our energy resources, the market will find the best way. I actually like the idea of geothermal energy, since we got an entire planet’s worth of heat just a few miles beneath our feet — it is however technologically difficult to make a decent go of it, I’m afraid.

Question: Washington State needs to create legislation in response to climate change.

Strongly disagree
Disagree
Neither disagree or agree
Agree
Strongly agree

If the Federal government can do little about the problem, what on earth do we think one small state can do about it?

Question: Do think we should include nuclear energy as a way to address climate change?

Strongly disagree
Disagree
Neither disagree or agree
Agree
Strongly disagree

Strongly agree (he’s got “strongly disagree” listed twice – a Freudian slip methinks).

It would probably be best to site nuke plants where huge earthquakes are unexpected. It would be good to make many smaller plants, instead of a few huge ones. It would be even better to put a LOT of funds into fusion research.

Question: How conservative do you consider yourself?

Incredibly conservative
Conservative
Somewhat conservative
Not Conservative

Actually, although I am personally conservative in my lifestyle, politically I consider myself a libertarian. As do many so-called conservatives.

Question: Do you agree there should be limits on carbon dioxide emissions?

Strongly diagree
Disagree
Neither disagree or agree
Agree
Strongly Agree

I regard carbon dioxide emissions to be a sign of inefficiency in industry. I consider the problem a technical and economic matter, and not at all political.

Question: TRUST in Environmental Groups: Do you have strong trust, moderate trust, neither trust or mistrust, moderate mistrust, or strong mistrust in environmental groups.

Strong trust
Moderate trust
Neither trust or mistrust
Moderate mistrust
Strong distrust

My evaluation of environmental groups is that the great mass of them are afflicted by serious tunnel vision and are more given to acts best characterized as “eyewash” than anything that actually advance what they claim to stand for. What I mean by “eyewash” is that they frequently advocate that which looks good, but in fact is not. They are also generally so politicized that science, by and large, is immaterial — i.e. politics are more likely to drive them than good science does. Do I think they are all bad? No. I believe that some of them do worthwhile things.

Question: TRUST in Capitalism: Do you have strong trust, moderate trust, neither trust or mistrust, moderate mistrust, or strong mistrust in capitalism?

Strong trust
Moderate trust
Neither trust or mistrust
Moderate mistrust
Strong mistrust

I trust free markets. Capitalism, per se, is only an economic model, and is by far the most effective one in improving the lives of people. Of course, it’s possible for markets to make mistakes; we’re all human, after all. But free markets are thankfully self-correcting. When I contemplate what the command economy in the USSR did to the Caspian and Aral Seas, I’d bet on Capitalist Free Markets any day of the week.

Question: TRUST in Government: Do you have strong trust, moderate trust, neither trust or mistrust, moderate mistrust, or strong mistrust in the government?

Strong Trust
Moderate Trust
Neither trust or mistrust
Moderate mistrust
Strong mistrust

Governments, at every level, are a reflection of the people who put them into power, and governments, at every level, are made up of people who are just like the rest of us: variously flawed and gifted. Just because my neighbor is elected Mayor does not make him or her suddenly virtuous.

 

OK, that was the survey. There were a couple of last questions, but they were demographic and so I am not reproducing them here.

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His Flexibility Has Changed Nothing

I confess to being a bit surprised.  A year and a half ago, in the wake of Barack Obama’s reelection, I blogged that I was afraid this country wouldn’t be the same by the end of his presidency.  But now I believe that nothing much has changed, and Mr. Obama’s flexibility hasn’t meant a thing.

As to the flexibility he spoke of when he spoke with the Russian politician (see this HERE),

it seems not to have been realized.  Now, to be fair, Mr. Obama might have been lying to outgoing Russian president Medvedev (he lies to the American people often enough, why should we be his only victims?).

But this flexibility he spoke of is clearly a non-starter.

I didn’t want the Obama presidency to fail.  I also didn’t want to see him succeed at fundamentally changing American society, but I wanted him to be at least competent as the American President.  I wanted him to succeed in gaining respect for the USA in the international circus.  But he has failed on both counts.  He doesn’t have the first clue on how to work with a Congress that is dominated by a Republican House — mainly because he never heard the word “compromise”, or more likely is unalterably opposed to compromise.  Which is not a way to be “flexible”, incidentally.  And so he hasn’t been able to get much more than that horrible Obamacare passed.  As to internationally, the USA is held in far greater disregard and even contempt than at any time under any of Mr. Obama’s recent predecessors.

2016 cannot arrive soon enough, in my opinion.

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What’s This About Water Fluoridation?

There are some real screwball cranks out there. Some are convinced that the US never landed on the Moon. Others consider it an article of faith that immunization causes autism. And so on, you get the picture. And then there are those folks who just can’t be convinced that water fluoridation is a complete waste of public money and possibly dangerous to the environment. And those are the screwballs I want to address in this blog post.

(Did I just give you whiplash?)

I am not a scientist, and I don’t even play one on TV. My only claim to any kind of authority on this subject is the studying that I engaged in back 10 years ago when I helped lead the fight against water fluoridation in the City of Olympia. A fight that we won, by the way. So don’t give what I have to say any more credence than it merits – although I would say that my knowledge of the subject is rather more advanced than most other citizens.

Dental Fluoride

First of all, I will say that I have no problem with dental fluoride treatments, nor with using fluoridated toothpaste, and I would tell anyone who asked me to go right ahead. I myself use fluoride toothpaste. But I do so knowing that the family of substances used for toothpaste fluoridation is potentially dangerous, depending upon the exact chemical being used. There are many forms of fluoride, and I’ll just look at two of them which are commonly used in toothpaste.

I have two tubes of toothpaste in front of me as I write this. One is Pepsodent®, and according to the label on the tube the fluoridation agent is Sodium fluoride (NaF). The other is Listerine® Gel (my favorite), and the label says its fluoridation agent is Sodium monofluorophosphate (Na2PFO3). I extracted the following text from the corresponding articles in Wikipedia.

Sodium fluoride

The lethal dose for a 70 kg (154 lb) human is estimated at 5–10 g. Sodium fluoride is classed as toxic by both inhalation (of dusts or aerosols) and ingestion. In high enough doses, it has been shown to affect the heart and circulatory system. For occupational exposures, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration and the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health have established occupational exposure limits at 2.5 mg/m3 over an eight-hour time-weighted average.

Sodium monofluorophosphate

The usual content of monofluorophosphate (MFP) in toothpaste is 0.76%. Currently accepted research indicates that by using such toothpaste, cavities may be reduced 17–38%. The compound is not very toxic but has been shown to have limited evidence of musculoskeletal and respiratory toxicities. The LD50[1] in rats is 0.9 g/kg.

Both of these tubes of toothpaste contain warnings about their use for children under 6. The Listerine toothpaste merely advises to minimize the amount a child might swallow. But the Pepsodent tube’s warning is much more dire: “WARNING: KEEP OUT OF REACH OF CHILDREN UNDER 6 YEARS OF AGE.” It advises getting medical help or immediate contact with a poison control center right away, “if more than used for brushing is swallowed.” This is by no means some over-reaction. I am anecdotally aware of some fortunately rare cases where dentists giving fluoride treatments to young children have made mistakes and caused deaths as a direct result of fluoride overdose (for example, this one). This stuff is NOT innocuous and must be treated with care and wisdom.

Water Fluoridation

Water fluoridation, however, is another matter entirely. I am completely opposed to it, and will explain why below. But first, I have a good deal of doubt that the studies frequently cited showing that fluoridation “works” to reduce cavities are valid. I guess I would have to read the studies to find how they controlled for certain situations that I believe would tend to invalidate their results. I am not a robot who automatically rejects any evidence that my position might be wrong, and I also do not automatically accept any evidence that happens to agree with my position, either.

But when it comes to a controlled study of fluoridation, I am afraid that the variables are likely to be very much uncontrollable. How much water out of the tap is being drunk, compared to how much is being drunk in the form of soft-drinks, for example? How long do water-drinkers hold water in their mouths, verses bottled-water drinkers, versus soft-drink consumers? Which bottled waters were collected from municipal sources with fluoridation, versus those collected from non-fluoridated sources? Which non-fluoridated municipal sources actually have a high degree of naturally-occurring fluoride? And which fluoridated ones have a high degree of natural fluoride? Do children live in a non-fluoridated community, but attend school in a fluoridated? Do they drink most of their water in one, or the other? How many brush their teeth regularly? How many go to bed each night without brushing, with food residue on their teeth to develop acids which cause cavities? And how many parents lie (or tell counter-factual statements) to researchers because they are ashamed they: (a) let their kids drink too many soft-drinks; (b) do not enforce teeth-brushing or flossing; or (c) do not consistently have their kids take the fluoride tablets they might be prescribed for the purpose of the study?

Here are my problems, in no particular order, with water fluoridation:

Problem #1: Very little of the fluoride compounds used for fluoridation actually makes it into the mouths of those for whom it is intended. People simply do not drink that much water, and vastly more public water goes for flushing toilets, watering lawns, washing dishes and clothes, and just plain wasting down the drain. In short, the vast majority of the fluoride ends up being more or less directly dumped into the biosphere. Even if the compounds used were not, just by the way, toxic in and of themselves, it is a fiendishly inefficient method of delivery.

Problem #2: The last time I visited the dentist and got a fluoride treatment, the dental assistant swabbed the stuff over the surface of my teeth and told me to not clean it off for at least an hour or two, so that it could do its job. I was also told not to swallow it, of course, because it is of course toxic. But toxicity aside (see above), consider how much less fluoride passes my lips when I take a drink of fluoridated water, and how long it sticks to my teeth. Here’s what is happening: the glass of water passes my lips, some of it passes extremely briefly over my teeth, and all it goes into my stomach. That brief passage over my teeth is so brief that there is no way that it is going to do anything useful! Once the fluoride hits my stomach it is of no use whatsoever as a fluoride treatment, except possibly as a result of some (very tiny) amount of the fluoride ending up as part of my saliva. Have the scientists ever tested the saliva of persons whose water was fluoridated, in order to see if there’s enough to make any difference? I don’t know, but I doubt it. Again, this brief passage past my teeth is a fiendishly inefficient method of delivery.

Problem #3: This is related to what you mentioned as your objection to water fluoridation, and that is the unwilling mass medication of everyone who must drink publicly fluoridated water. And there are people who are sensitive to fluoride compounds, and cannot drink it nor bathe in it. If such a person lives in a community that fluoridates, then they must be careful to drink only bottled water (from non-fluoridated supplies), and should not bathe or shower using public water.

Problem #4: Besides the medically unethical mass dosing of the population, there is the environment to consider. The most common form of fluoridation agent is Hexafluorosilicic acid. This substance is a byproduct of the manufacture of phosphoric acid (among other processes), and besides its use as a fluoridation agent, an important use of it is in the manufacture of aluminum metal from its ores. If you read up on this chemical, you will find that it is quite useful in industry, but its usefulness is largely a product of its high reactivity – in some applications its reactivity is higher than Hydrofluoric acid (HF), one of the most reactive acids known (the only acid that can etch glass). In fact, Hexafluorosilicic acid emits HF.

From Wikipedia on the safety of this material:

Hexafluorosilicic acid releases hydrogen fluoride when evaporated, so it has similar risks. It is corrosive and may cause fluoride poisoning; inhalation of the vapors may cause lung edema. Like hydrogen fluoride, it attacks glass and stoneware. The LD50 value of hexafluorosilicic acid is 70 mg/kg.

If I were to dump a hundred gallons of this material into a river, the EPA would come looking for me with blood in its eye, and they would probably be beaten to the punch by every tree-hugger in the area. Yet we permit and even require our municipal corporations to add it to our drinking water, whereupon almost all of it ends up in the rivers and nearby bays, where the fish swim and the shellfish filter. Isn’t that nice that we can thereby eat our fluoride as well? Yumm!

Problems with Studies Validating the Efficacy of Fluoridation

I will admit that I have not looked for any studies which were intended to examine whether water fluoridation was effective or not. Years ago, however, I did run across a study which simply collected children’s cavity data on a statewide, county-by-county basis in the State of Washington. We used the results in our fight to prevent fluoridation in Olympia, because it told a very interesting tale indeed.

This study was done by the University of Washington (UW), and I am sorry I cannot cite it, as I lost most of my materials some time ago. But what I do recall is that the UW collected rates of cavity formation in children for every county in the state (as reported by dentists). Some counties had bad cavity rates, and some had good cavity rates, and some were right in the middle. The astonishing thing was that there was no correlation at all between fluoridation in those counties that had it, with improved cavity rates in children in those counties. Some fluoridated counties had good rates, some had bad rates; some non-fluoridated counties had good rates, and some had bad rates. With all kinds of outcomes in between. Our opponents in the Olympia fluoridation battle tried to discount our claim that the study didn’t validate fluoridation, with the somewhat weak argument that the UW study was not intended to show the efficacy of fluoridation.

Well, I do believe that if the UW had tried to control the data in order to show the efficacy of fluoridation or the lack of it, they would have found that it was simply wonderful. And the reason I believe they would have found this, is because water fluoridation it is one of those sacred cows that the dental profession absolutely does not tolerate heresy about. I will not attempt to claim that this is some kind of conspiracy, or maybe I will, but if you do follow the money you will find that water fluoridation is quite simply the niftiest way to dispose of hexafluorosilicic acid, an industrial byproduct, that has ever been invented. Not only does it not cost industry any money to dispose of it, it actually brings in money. A win-win situation all around. Except for the environment, and for those of us who would rather not ingest toxins we could otherwise avoid.

And if you doubt that such a conspiracy to keep the hexafluorosilicic acid flowing could really be kept quiet, consider what happens to any dentist or other dental researcher who begins to question the status quo! Those who do so are instantly branded as deluded, or as “conspiracy theorists”, and thus not to be taken seriously. Their license to practice dentistry may also be at risk. Remember the fate of Ignaz Semmelweis, who claimed that it was the unclean hands of his fellow physicians that caused the deaths of many women from puerperal fever in childbed, the doctors having gone from handling dead bodies to delivering babies. He was the nail that needed pounding down, and he got it, too. But he was right.

There are just too many doubts, in my mind, and too many unbelievable things involved here. Does it do my teeth any good to fluoridate the water if I don’t drink the water? Do the salmon really appreciate the fluoride all that much?

In closing, I have to say that just because dental fluoridation and toothpaste fluoridation is a good thing when it comes to caries prevention, it does not mean that bathing in and drinking fluoridated water (in which the fluoride is in fact highly dilute!) is going to be at all effective.

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Jerk Driver Gets Comeupance But Oh! The Commentary!

Where else but on YouTube!?

A Florida driver happened to take a video of a guy in a nice big pickup truck who was tailgating her — apparently, the pickup driver wanted the videographer to accelerate past the speed limit to allow him to get where he was going faster.  But the videographer, who was blocked by other traffic from moving over to let the pickup go by, wouldn’t speed up.

Eventually, the traffic in the other lane allowed the pickup to go around the videographer, and so he did so.  However, he took pains to make sure that the videographer could see that he was flipping her the bird.  It definitely appeared that the pickup driver was paying no attention to what was ahead of him, trying to ensure that the other driver saw what he was doing.

Finally, the pickup sped up dramatically on the rain-slick road, and immediately spun out all over the road, ending up pointed the opposite way in the median strip.  The video went quite viral, and it is clear that the videographer was actually paying attention to where she was going, because the video isn’t pointed directly at the subject at all times.

Having been the subject of abuse by idiot drivers like the one in the pickup truck myself, I gladly reproduce the video here:

The original video was taken down/marked “private”, so I came up with one with news coverage.  The thing about this is, the original video had comments disabled because the comments started containing things like death threats — to the videographer!  Were they from the pickup driver?  I don’t know, but there were apparently a huge number of all kinds of commentary, and this demonstrates something important.  It demonstrates that anonymity causes people to say the dumbest things.

Modified on 6/24/2014 with replacement video

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Another Way of Doing Transactions in .NET

I was browsing StackOverflow.com today, and ran into this question on doing transactions in Sql Server.  Since I was familiar with using SqlTransactions, I thought maybe it was a question I could provide an answer to, but then I saw the response by Anders Abel about TransactionScope.  Wow!  I had never known this existed and it seemed like a much better way of doing transactional operations without getting into SqlTransaction.

However, Remus Rusanu, commented on Anders’ answer, however, suggesting that this wasn’t the best way to use TransactionScope.  He pointed to a blog post by a Microsoftie that gave serious caution to using it “straight up” without some modification.  I had a look at the article and I was really excited about using TransactionScope with that technique.  I can think of a few places it might have saved me some grief in the past.  And I’m posting a link to the MSDN article, “using new TransactionScope() Considered Harmful” here, mainly for my personal future use, but YOU, dear reader, might find this valuable too.  So here it is:

using new TransactionScope() Considered Harmful by David Baxter Browne

Enjoy coding!

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World Order at it AGAIN: Have a Nice Day!

Genki Sudo (or as they say in Japanese, Sudo Genki) and World Order are at it yet again! Another of their classic roboto-style music videos — and yes, it’s in Japanese — is Have a Nice Day.

It’s sweet! Especially the cute Japanese ice cream girls all dressed up in, I guess, ice cream shop uniforms.  Hmmm.   Japan has got to be one odd place.

Well, anyway, here it is.  Enjoy best in Full Screen!

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It’s the “Affordable Care Act”, NOT “Obamacare” Says Pelosi

You really must watch this one:

In this wonderful video, Ms. Pelosi calls a questioner gently onto the carpet for referring to the Affordable Care Act as “ObamaCare”, and then goes on to repeat the word “Affordable” about five or six times in order to make sure everyone heard her.  She said she even corrects the President when he calls it ObamaCare.

Okay, I guess I see her point, but given that millions of people are now paying more for health coverage than they were before, I am quite sure that the term “affordable” does not fit it.

One of my sons had a health insurance policy up until Jan 1, 2014, and it cost him $110 per month.  But on that date the provider cancelled the policy and offered him a replacement policy which complied with the “Affordable” Care Act’s provisions, and the new policy was going to cost him $256 per month.  He had to decline the offer because he couldn’t afford it.  He prefers to pay the fine for being uninsured than paying almost 2 and 1/2 times his old policy.

The name “Affordable Care Act” is a lie.  “Obamacare” fits it better. That Obama lied about being able to keep your policy if you liked it, well, that works too.

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We’re All Going to — Die? Warm Up?

Phil Plait, he of the Bad Astronomy blog (it’s on Slate these days, so you know he’s for real), is a fun read.  He reports all kinds of interesting astronomical stuff, and I enjoy reading his work.  On some days, however, he insists upon breaking wind about non-astronomical matters, and in many of these blog entries he gets to be quite annoying.  Can you say: specialist trying to comment outside his area of specialization?  That’s Phil Plait from time to time.

Global Warming Deniers

Phil gets really exercised about people who won’t take global climate change seriously.  He seems to regard them as the moral equivalent of Holocaust Deniers.  A recent post of his concerning old arctic Ice melting is a case in point.

Phil has posted about his Denier fixation before, and while I definitely apprecaite his frustration (I have to deal with people who can believe the craziest things, too), what does he expect to accomplish?  He writes:

We don’t know how long it will be before we see our first ice-free Arctic summer, but it may be as soon as 30 years. Most likely it will be somewhat longer; I hope so. But the bottom line is that the ice is going away due to global warming, and as it does we’ll see worse and worse effects from it. The time to stick our heads in the sand about this is long, long gone.

OK, let’s assume that climate change is real, and that we’re warming up.  Further, let’s assume that the warming is caused by human activities (something that I am still not convinced of).  What about it?  More to the point, what do we do about it?

Enact the Kyoto Accords?  Everyone stop breathing? Kill all the cows?

Well, cattle are responsible for enormous amounts of methane, an even better greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, so they have it coming.  Clearly.  And lest PETA put out a contract on me, I’m joking.

When was the last time something like this happened?  It might have happened during the so-called Medieval Warm Period (MWP), a period lasting three hundred years from 950-1250 AD.  I have been unable to determine if the warming effects included an ice-free Arctic Ocean or not, and what I’ve read suggests that the warming was not global.  I guess some scientists prefer to call this period the Medieval Climatic Anomaly. And apparently during this time the southern hemisphere was experiencing other effects than increased warmth – Antarctica was colder than today, for example, and the tropical Pacific was cooler and drier.

And then there’s the Roman Warm Period!  This proposed period, RWP, is less well attested than the MWP.  But the point is, this period from 250 BC to 400 AD was another time in which global climate got frisky, it seems, much the same way during the MWP.  And in neither one of these periods were the Vikings or the Romans driving SUVs or selling carbon credits to the Huns.

So, Who’s to Blame?

Phil Plait is one of many would-be Cassandras who is desparately trying to get our attention about how Global Climate Change is going to Kill Us All.  And ironically enough, from the viewpoint of the Cassandra Chorus, we have met the enemy and He is Us (with apologies to Walt Kelly).  I’m not convinced, of course.  In this game of correlation and causation, who would I prefer to blame?  The cows, of course.  There are now more cows upon the face of the earth than there have ever been before upon the face of the earth.  If you can’t see the obvious correlation there isn’t much I can do for you.

But joking aside, and quite frankly I don’t give a darn if we humans are driving the climate change or not, look at this chart of global temperatures over the last 12,000 years (the chart from the Wikipedia article on the Holocene Climatic Optimum) :

What do you see there?  Notice that modern times is on the right side of the chart (the right edge is 2000 AD).  You see the humps of the MWP and RWP, ocurring at around 1,000 and 2,000 years ago respectively?  You see the right edge of the chart show temps about in the same neighborhood as the MWP and RWP?  And further, that as we move off the chart to the right, the temperature line goes up to near 0.5 degrees.  Now, that’s hot, but notice that it’s only just a little hotter than it was 8,000 years ago!  In short, we’ve been here before.  Is it perhaps too early to panic?  Well, perhaps not, since temperatures now are hotter still — off the chart to the right, in fact, they’ve popped up dramatically to over 0.5 degrees (see the note there for year 2004?).

But I do wish to have you consider the entire chart.

See how the temperatures fall very dramatically off as we go backwards pass 10,000 years?  That, my friends, is the last glaciation period.  It’s warmed up since then, yes?  But I want you to lay a ruler, figuratively, along the middle of that squiggly line starting at around 8,000 years ago where the temperature line crosses 0 degrees, and end up at about the midpoint of the upward trending squiggle, at about -0.25 degrees.  What slope do you see on your ruler?  That’s right!  Downwards!

In other words, up until just very recently, since the end of the last glacial period, 8,000 years ago when we were at a peak in temperatures, we’ve been trending colder, not hotter

And here’s something you may not be aware of: we are not yet out of the last Ice Age.  I can hear your eyelids snap open in surprise at this, so I will repeat myself: we are not yet out of the last Ice Age!  We are presently in a period known as the Quaternary Glaciation, which started 2.6 million years ago and hasn’t ended yet.  The only reason why you’re not sitting on a huge pile of ice reading this is because we happen to be in what is called an Interglacial Period.  This one even has a name: the Holocene Interglacial, “Holocene” being a fancy scientific name for “modern times”, in case you’re wondering.  And do you know what the paleoclimatologists were doing in 1972?  They were worried that we were heading out of the current interglacial and into the next stage of glaciation.  Or, in other words, they were worried about global cooling.  There were at the time several articles in popular magazines reporting on this worry; can you remember back that far?  The climatologists felt that since interglacial periods tended to last about 10,000 years, and we were 10,000 years into the current interglacial, things were about to start getting seriously colder — and the data on the chart above tended to bear them out.  Since then they have changed their minds, however.  The increase in atmospheric CO2 has given good cause to believe that the trend is reversing (and recent temperature trending confirms this).  In short, while we could have been heading out of the current interglacial period and into some serious ice, this won’t happen after all because — wait for it — we’ve been dumping enough CO2 and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere to hold off the next glaciation period another 15,000 years!  And if we can just get the greenhouse gas level up to twice what it is now, we will delay the next glacial period up to 60,000 years!  Yay!  Does this mean that I have now changed my mind about the climate change being human-caused?  No, I’m still not convinced, but I will allow the possibility.  We aren’t the only thing blowing out greenhouse gas — I am convinced the situation is very complicated.

Now, what would you prefer: being dumped into the deep freeze, or being warm and toasty?  I don’t know what course others might prefer, but give me warm summers and a mild winter.

You see what this means, of course.  We need more cows.

For a follow-up post see: Global Climate Change One More Time.

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There’s Nothing Wrong with Hungarian Notation!

I was just scanning StackOverflow looking for interesting Questions and Answers, and happened up this one: Converting JSON to C# Class Object. Serialization is always an interesting subject, and I had previously thought about the idea of serializing (or deserializing) to and from JSON, so I had a look. The questioner was having a problem getting JSON serialization to work, and asked if anyone could see what he was doing wrong. Well, I certainly couldn’t see anything (since I’ve never dealt much with JSON — that’s “JavaScript Object Notation” for those of you wondering about it — it was Greek to me).

But what caught my eye the most was a comment to the question. See, the questioner’s displayed code contained data names like this one: “strMapPolicyID”. Note the “str” prefix. This is one way to indicate that the object in question contains a string. Or “intZoomLevel”, where “int” indicates that it contains an integer. This kind of notation is what is called “Hungarian Notation”, and in some (most?) programmer’s minds it is a thing to be avoided like the plague. The comment in this case was:

Don’t use Hungarian notation. It’s bad practice generally, and totally unexpected when working with JSON. – Panagiotis Kanavos

This annoyed me. There’s nothing wrong with Hungarian notation, per se, any more than there’s anything wrong with Hungarian. In it’s proper place (amongst Hungarians), the Hungarian language is perfectly appropriate. And Hungarian notation has its place, as well. I don’t use the style of Hungarian Notation expressed in the StackOverflow question (I used to, long time ago), but the inventor of the notation, at-that-time Microsofty Charles Simonyi (who is, by the way, Hungarian), didn’t encourage this version of the notation that most programmers are familiar with anyway. This idea of prefacing each variable name with a short indicator of the object’s underlying data type (such as “str” or “int”) is a tautology, and was not what Simonyi had in mind.

One should read Simonyi’s original article on the subect, on Microsoft’s Developer Network site: http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/aa260976(v=vs.60).aspx

The kind of prefix that Simonyi argued for was the functional prefix, not the data type. For example, if an integer was intended to represent a color, specifically the color red, the variable might be named coRed. Or, if it was supposed to represent the color of a house, coHouse. I don’t have time to provide a precis of Simonyi’s article — just read it.

The simple fact about Hungarian notation is this: what most programmers think is Hungarian notion isn’t. They’re abusing a straw man.

I still use Hungarian notation for names of controls in web pages and windows forms. For example, I might name a textbox txtFirstName, or txtAddress1. What this does is enable me make sure I am addressing all related objects. On the other hand, if I had a lot of textboxes, I might group them in nominal groups, such as a set of textboxes intended to collect or display address information. For example: addrStreet1, addrStreet2, addrCity, addrState, and addrZip. The fact that addrState might be a dropdown containing all 50 states is not important, but it IS important that it enables me to more easily code to them all because auto-completion (Intellisense in Visual Studio) would help me make sure I got them all during coding to access them. And that is the proper role of Hungarian notation — not to mention the proper definition of Hungarian notation.

By the way, there are a couple of blog posts from famous programmers on the subject that bear linking to:

And, as always, have fun coding!

Posted in Coding | Leave a comment