Apparently, the End of the World is Near

I am told that there are a lot of folks who expect the end of the world to occur on December 21, 2012.  And the reason for it?  I guess that date marks the end of the Mayan Long Count calendar, and the folks that are putting stock in this end of the world thing regard the Mayans as authoritative.

My question on this is: why?

Why would anyone think that the Mayans would have any insight into the end of the world?  What is so special about the Mayans?  Good question, and I haven’t seen the answer.

The fact is, the Mayans couldn’t even predict the end of their own civilization, so how can they be relied upon to produce a reliable date for the end of the world?  But as it turns out, the Mayans didn’t “predict” a darned thing!

What is the Long Count Calendar?

I suggest you check out the Wikipedia article on the 2012 Phenomenum,  Apparently the Mayans themselves in some of their inscriptions referenced dates beyond December 21, 2012.  And that date only represents the end of the 13th b’ak’tun.  The day after is the first day of the 14th b’ak’tun.  That is all that is going on here.

Now, if I were completely free of conscience, knowing what I know I could have cashed in on this little freak-show.  But I am just too honest for it.  Or maybe I don’t have enough business sense.

There’s reasons for being prepared for emergencies, don’t get me wrong.  Nobody who has seen the dislocations in the wake of events like the Japanese earthquake and tsunami of 2012 can discount the value of being prepared.  But freaking out about this bogus end-of-the-world hysteria?  No, no.  Let’s not.

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Well, there we go.

It’s not news that Barack Obama has won a second term.  Now comes the flexibility that he told the Russians about.

Just watch.  Either nothing will happen or way more than you ever thought.  And I predict that at the end of this four years nothing will be the same.

You picked him, people.  Enjoy.

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Dishonorable Disclosures

A little late on this one.  My sis sent me the link, but I missed seeing it until this morning.

Just watch:

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Tuesday! It’s Coming!

This coming Tuesday is The Day!  There’s no doubt that some of us are going to be very surprised and disappointed.  I am pretty sure I will be neither.  This is because I am just about as convinced as I can be that Mitt Romney will be President-Elect before midnight at the end of the day.  And since my dear wife and I have already dropped our ballots off, it’s a “done deal” for us.

But as confident as I am, there is nevertheless a degree of doubt in there.  I do not have perfect prophetic vision, so this must be the case.  But I am surprised that there are some Obama supporters who believe that they do possess this vision.  Amazing.

Take this little gem by Robert Crawford, who tweets as @JurassicPork59, for instance:

Romney’s now desperately calling his campaign a “movement.” As in “movement, bowel.”

This word, “desparately”, suggests that the tweeter thinks that Romney is in some distress over his prospects for election.  I wonder where he gets this?  I’ve listened to a few of Romney’s speeches over the past few days, and he sounds not at all “desparate”.  If anything, he sounds genuinely confident, positive, and upbeat.

I wonder if the tweeter has not heard that over the past week Romney’s numbers have improved all over the place, and that states which were formerly counted as Obama states have now gone over into the “swing” category?  And this being the case, why would Romney be “desparate”?  I think Mr. Crawford is projecting, actually.  You know, “projecting”, as in projecting his own emotional state onto another person, Mitt Romney in this case.

Although Mr. Crawford might have a point, after all.  My own tweet in response to the one above went like this:

@jurassicpork59 tweeted that Romney’s campaign is a “bowell movement”. How appropriate! On Tuesday the nation voids itself of Obama.

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Doonesbury Dumps on Mitt’s Missionary Service

In the Doonesbury cartoons for 10/8 and 10/9 we see an Elder Mitt Romney tracting.

Two implications:

  • Mitt is serving as a missionary in order to get out of serving in Vietnam
  • And Mitt despises the poor

And note the foot in the door.  I wonder what bon mots Trudeau will come up with in the days to come.  It looks like the beginning of a complete story arc.

I wonder if a cartoonist could get away with lampooning Obama’s service as a “community organizer”?  Or his service in the Illinois State  Legislature — where he voted “Present” on so many occasions, thus failing to take a stand.

Of course, the Left doesn’t like it that Romney is religious.  Though I notice that they don’t excoriate Obama’s church attendance.

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Live-blogging the Presidential Debate #1 Part 3

This segment is the Role of Government.

Starting with President Obama.

He says that the first responsibility is to defend the country.  But the federal government has a role in supporting the infrastructure.  He used the transcontinental railrod and the National Academy of Science as put forth by President Lincoln as examples.  He went on to claim that Romney doesn’t think we need more teachers, but Romney immediately put the cabosh on that.

Romney agreed with defense as being the first thing, and went on to discourse on the rest of the three Declaration of Independence principles: Life; Liberty; Pursuit of Happiness. 

The moderator asked him about education.  Romney is in favor of school choice, and let the parent and the child decide where their allocated aid should go.  Obama responds that Romney’s tax cuts will hurt the education budget.  They both manage to agree that it would be good to help businesses partner with community colleges.

Obama brings up one of the Obama’s favorite mantras, that is that Romney expects students to borrow money from their parents for their education.  Romney didn’t directly respond to this.  Or indirectly, I guess.  If he did, I missed it.

This has been a very good debate.  I guess I am very impressed with both of them, at least as to their debating skills.

And the moderator got blindsided several times with both Romney and Obama talking over him and not letting him keep control.  It was hilarious!

But a good job of moderating, though.

An excellent job all around.  Who won the debate?  I believe that Romney did.  But Obama seemed to hold his own, to a degree, despite what I recognized as a disdain for the facts.

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Live-blogging the Presidential Debate #1 Part 2

They’re digging into Social Security and Medicare now, and both gents don’t want to touch Social Security with a ten foot pole.

Medicare gets some talk, though.

They are not in such huge disagreement in this topic as in the economy.  They are both treading very softly on this whole subject. 

Changing subject to regulations, particularly of banks.  Romney wants a complete overhaul of what Obama has done, and Obama isn’t so keen on it.  Particularly the Dodd-Frank law regarding the regulation of banks, where Romney says that designating five big banks as “too big to fail” with the federal government standing there with a bail and letting smaller banks go to hell in a handbasket was a huge mistake.  Obama had no answer for this.

When it comes to Obamacare, Romney had four major points to hold against it, and one important one was that instead of saving $2,000 on healthcare per year, it is costing people $2,000 more.  Lots of unintended consequences.  Obama doesn’t directly address this, though he repeated his old “if you like your health plan you can keep it”.  Which is incorrect because if your employer doesn’t want to keep his health plan because he thinks you can just get Obamacare coverage, he can just cut it off. 

Maybe I am biased (well, I am), but I have to say that Romney makes much more sense in this than Obama. 

But whatever the two candidates are feeling inside, they are keeping a very positive collegial face in the midst of a what must be a bit of an ordeal for both of them (although Romney seems more eager or at ease).  In short, both of them are looking very Presidential.  And that’s good.

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Live-blogging the Presidential Debate #1 Part 1

Well, right off, the two debaters had a friendly-appearing greeting, which was nice.  Unlike Kerry vs Bush where Kerry attempted to make Bush look even smaller in stature than he actually is.

Obama’s opening statement repeated one of the mantra’s he’s been repeating over and over, namely that Romney’s plan is to give taxation preferences to the rich.  Tax cuts to the rich, blah blah blah.  In the face of the fact that Romney has said over and over again that he won’t raise taxes on the middle class, and will reform the tax code to make sure the rich folks do pay some taxes.

Obama also makes some wind/solar energy obligatory nods, where of course none of this has been particularly successful so far.

Both guys are speaking well, so far.

Romney makes the point that the areas of the economy which have improved have improved in spite of Obama’s policies not because of them.

Obama responds about taxes that his policies have provided $3600 of tax relief to the middle class.  Where is it?  I certainly haven’t seen it, and I am definitely middle class.  And here goes with the analysis of insisting that Romney will have to raise middle class taxes in order to pay for his tax cuts.  Whereupon Romney shuts the door on him.  Good.  But Obama insists that what HE has been saying about Romneys’s tax plan is correct, and Romney is wrong.

I think the problem is that Obama’s team only sees that there is a zero-sum game.  The whole idea is that a smaller slice of a larger pie is actually larger than a large slice of a small pie.  If the economy grows, the slice for the government goes UP not down.  And hence pays for the tax cut.  But Obama and his people don’t believe it.

Obama insists on 5 trillion tax cuts, when Romney keeps saying he’s not going to cut 5 trillion.  Talk about broken records.  And now he is talking AGAIN about what happened during Bush’s term, without mentioning Bush directly.

Well, that’s the first 15 minutes.  And some extra.

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Obama Tweets More Foolishness

Although I am on Twitter, I only occasionally check out the feeds of those whom I follow.  I don’t follow very many, and Tweet only very rarely, mainly just when I post an entry here.  And whom do I follow?  Well, I won’t bore you with my complete follower list (you can find out if you want by checking my Twitter profile: @IWasAboutToSay).  But I do follow President Obama, and last week when I happened to check my Twitter feed, the Chief Tweeter had just belted out a few Tweets.  I thought they were quite instructive and worth commenting on here.

Here are the Tweets he emitted on 27 September, along with my comments to each of them.

27 Sept 2012 10:10am – POTUS: “We can decide that in the United States of America, no child should have her dream deferred because of an overcrowded classroom.”

Studies have shown that classroom size has no actual effect on student performance.  And whatever does he think that the Federal government can do about it?  We’ve had a Federal Department of Education since Jimmy Carter, and this has had no discernible effect on student performance, no matter what policies it pursued, nor which party was in power.

I am not sure if the Obama administration cares a fig or not for actual results, or if classroom size in itself is the ultimate goal, but as for me, I want our children to actually be able to read, comprehend what they read, and become thinking adults.  Not Obamabots.

27 Sept 2012 10:12am – “Help us keep tuition costs down for young people all across this country. They deserve opportunity just like I had opportunity.”

And just what are “we” supposed to do to accomplish this?  There isn’t a college in the United States that is run by the Federal government.  Unless Obama wants to abolish the States and run the whole shootin’ match from the Oval Office.  I’m sure he’d love to.

27 September 2012 10:20am – President Obama: “The typical family has seen their tax burden go down about $3,600 on the federal level because of our policies.”

And which policies are those, exactly?  Has he lowered federal taxes or something?  Oh, I guess he lowered the FICA tax, thus making the Social Security system’s looming bankruptcy even closer than it was before!  Not sure if that’s a good thing or not.  I’d judge that it isn’t.  Well, apart from that, this is a marvelous demonstration of how to lie using statistics.  The reason families are paying less in federal taxes isn’t because of any conscious policy the Obama administration has put into effect, it is because families are making less money because the economy is in the process of flatlining.

But on second thought, I guess Obama has a point after all, in a kind of backhanded way: the Obama administration’s policies have utterly failed to do anything to stem the tide of economic collapse, and thus the typical family is paying less in taxes as a result of earning less income than before.  If I were him, though, I wouldn’t want to take much credit for this.  It doesn’t seem … helpful.  To him, anyway.

27 September 2012 10:25am – “My opponent thinks it’s fair that someone who makes $20 million a year like him pays a lower rate than a cop or a teacher who makes $50K.”

It’s amazing how nefarious that sounds!  Notice he doesn’t say that the cop or teacher pays more taxes, just that they have a higher tax rate?  And notice the amount: $20 million.  Is it a coincidence that his opponent Mitt Romney is known to make about $20 million a year on his investments?  No, I don’t think so!

Actually, I don’t know if Romney has been known to say that paying 15% on investment income is “fair” versus the rate at which a cop or teacher’s pays the tax on their income, which will vary some depending upon deductions.  But let’s just say that Romney pays 15% on the whole $20 million, and the cop or teacher pays, say, 20% on the whole $50K.  My calculator, then, says they pay this much in taxes:

• Romney pays: $3,000,000 • Cop/Teacher pays: $10,000

Now, just who is it that is paying the operating expenses of the country?  Romney’s taxes buys a heck of lot more crap than the cops or the teachers.  And in fact, after deductions, the cop or the teacher pays more like $3,000 in income taxes.  Which is an effective rate of 6%.  So, who is paying through the nose then?

And what is this fairness that Obama is talking about?  Does socking Romney with a higher tax rate make any practical difference to the cop?  Presumably the cop or teacher’s salary is being paid out of city or state taxes of one sort or another.  Does it make them feel better somehow to know that Romney is forking out a higher rate to the federal government?

The fact of the matter is simply this: Romney’s 15% is paying the equivalent of 60 teachers’ salaries.  The teacher’s taxes are paying for the toilet seat on a military transport airplane.  What was this about fairness, again?

27 September 2012 10:35am – “We’ve got a new tower across the New York skyline, al Qaeda is on the path to defeat, and bin Laden is dead.”—President Obama

And this is relevant?  How?  Oh, that’s right: Obama wants to make sure we know that he actually had the cojones to give the Go order to whack Osama bin Laden.  Props to him for that.  But wouldn’t ANY president have given that order, considering 9/11?  And as for that tower across the New York skyline, of course it was late and over budget, and the federal government didn’t build it.  So is he trying to take credit for that?  Too?

27 September 2012 10:46am – President Obama on the GOP: “Their theory is if you can’t afford health insurance, hope you don’t get sick.”

And where is this theory to be found, exactly?  In the collected works of Mitt Romney?  I know what the Democrat theory is.  Make health insurance so expensive that the only way anyone can afford it is for the federal government to provide it.  This is possibly the reason why the Affordable Care Act lays a tax on everyone who can’t afford to buy health insurance, or refuses to do so.  Capital idea!

The deeper implication of this otherwise blatant attempt to knock over yet another Straw Man is the message that under the Obama philosophy the ultimate insurer is the federal government.  If you can’t afford it, well then, Obama will pay for it!  And why should anyone buy their own insurance if the feds will fess it up?  The Obama Plan is thus a sly and sneaky way to ultimately nationalize the entire healthcare industry.  It has to be a step-wise process, of course, because few people would swallow it all at once.

27 September 2012 10:50am – President Obama on the Romney-Ryan mindset: “If you can’t afford to go to college, borrow money from your parents.”

And this is different from borrowing money from the federal government?  In what way, exactly?  Oh, that’s right, your parents might not have any money to lend.  The feds, on the other hand, don’t either, but they’d be willing to print some or borrow some into existence!  Either way, your parents will pay, either directly through taxes, or indirectly through inflation and an out-of-control national debt.  And so will you.  And while your parents might be willing to forgive your debt to them, will the federal government be willing?  One guess on that, my friend.

And please don’t try to paper this over by saying that the federal government is only guaranteeing student loans.  Who pays if the student defaults?  Why, the feds do!  That’s the only reason the lenders are willing to risk making the loans in the first place.

27 September 2012 11:01am – “We believe America only works when we accept certain responsibilities for ourselves, and also for others.”—President Obama

And just who would disagree with this platitude?  Nobody.  So what is the point?  Oh, that’s right, Obama wants to sound wise.  As for me, on the other hand, I’d prefer he fixed the economy.

27 September 2012 11:10am – “If we rally around a new kind of economic patriotism, we will rebuild this economy together. We will rebuild the middle class together.”

Please, Mr. President, what is this “new kind of economic patriotism”?

The key word here is the indefinite article “a”.  As in: “a new kind of economic patriotism”. It’s indefinite because he doesn’t have a clue what kind of economic patriotism he is talking about, but it sounds really good, so he says it.  And what exactly is the old kind of economic patriotism?  Come to think of it, I am rather cloudy on what the term “economic patriotism” is supposed to mean.

Here’s some “economic patriotism” for you: accept the responsibility for your own upkeep, to the greatest degree you are able, and expect all others to accept the responsibility for their own upkeep as well.  Once the federal government can accept that kind of economic patriotism, then prosperity will flow as naturally from the economy as water flows from a artesian spring.  As for those who genuinely cannot generate enough economic activity to sustain their own upkeep?  The generosity of all those who can do so will more than sustain those who cannot.

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Red Dawn, Remade!

They have remade Red Dawn.

I probably shouldn’t write about this movie, which is just now getting its release.  I haven’t seen it, yet.  Of course, as an aficionado of the original movie, which featured some really up-and-coming actors while at their seeming youngest, I will be comparing the original film very closely with this one, when I finally see it.  But the remake already has red flags going up in my mind, no pun intended.

North Koreans?  Are you kidding me?

The original film had a degree of believability about it, with a combined Soviet/Cuban invasion of the mainland USA.  At the time, Russia was the Soviet Union, and had the military clout to actually pull off a credible invasion, and with a satellite state like Cuba right off the southern border of the US, this was completely believable.  And not only that, the story and the actors were damned fine and believable, too.  Patrick Swayze at his best, in my opinion.

But this film, while it still features a communist invasion of the United States, sacrifices believability for that big foreign market in China.  This movie was filmed under the premise of a Red Chinese invasion of the United States.  This is at least a plausible premise.  But they changed this in post-production to a North Korean invasion!  Here’s what Wikipedia says:

In March 2011 . . . MGM changed the villains in its Red Dawn remake from Chinese to North Korean in order to maintain access to China’s lucrative box office. The changes reportedly cost less than $1 million and involve changing an opening sequence summarizing the story’s fictional backdrop, re-editing two scenes and using digital technology to transform many Chinese symbols to Korean. The film’s producer Trip Vinson stated, “We were initially very reluctant to make any changes, but after careful consideration we constructed a way to make a scarier, smarter and more dangerous Red Dawn that we believe improves the movie”.

I am going to have to see this film in order to determine if they’ve made it scarier, smarter or dangerouser.  Perhaps they have.  But what they have done is to throw REALITY under the bus.

North Korea can’t even pull off an invasion of South Korea, and they’re right next door.

So why would anyone think they could pull one off against the United States?  I mean, this is patently ridiculous, unless they can come up with some alternate history in the back story.  Today’s North Korea has a military that, in sheer numbers at least, is one of the largest in the world.  The estimate is that they have about 1 million men and women on active duty, and 8 million in reserve.  That sounds like a lot, but for the purpose of successfully invading the United States they would need a lot of air transport.  And the air transport would need some degree of protection from opposing air defenses.  And this is where it all breaks down.

North Korea’s air force currently has 3 IL-76 and 2 IL-62 heavy air transport aircraft, with 2 more IL-62 in airliner configuration.  Altogether, in a single airlift they could fly approximately 1200 fully-equipped infantry soldiers.  About half-way to Seattle, Washington (Washington is the state that is invaded, in the movie), the 3 IL-76’s and their 400 passengers would  crash into the Bering Sea.  Mid-air replenishment?  North Korea doesn’t have any air tankers.   The remaining 800 troops on board the IL-62’s would continue on, dropping these presumed paratroopers somewhere in Washington state.

And that would be it.  The IL-62’s would be running on fumes by this point, and the best they could hope to accomplish would be to land at some civilian airport and try to fuel up for the trip home.  Either that or kamikaze into some valuable target.

And all this assumes the entire United States military establishment is sitting on its hands.  Something which seems unreasonable to an extreme.  And let us see.  Hmmm.  Washington state is host to Joint Base Lewis-McChord and something like 25,000 active duty US Army troops.  And there’s the Washington National Guard, with the 81st Infantry Brigade.  Against 800 North Korean paratroopers who have no possibility of re-supply, no motor transport, and probably wandering the vast woodlands of Washington?

No, this does not pass the smell test.

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